Currently 68°F in Hemet, California, USA
71°F / 68°F
Wednesday, July 17, 2024 4:05 AM PDT

Outlook: March probably cooler, drier than normal

Posted March 3, 2011, 6:21 PM.

A month ago, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center had a similar outlook for February, one that turned out to be partly wrong when the second half of the month turned wet.

For March, there's a 33% chance that precipitation will be less than normal in Southern California's inland valleys, and a 33% chance that temperatures will be below normal. The below normal temperature outlook ends for the deserts; probabilities for the desert are set at an equal chance between cooler or warmer than normal weather.

By now, everyone is used to the fact that this will end up being a wet La Nina season, no matter what happens in March, April and May. Epic rainfall in December made certain of that, and it was reinforced by February rainfall that was near or above normal in most locations.

In fact, the wet months of December, January and February are behind us. Recent Marches have been significantly less wet, and April and May are generally drier still.

March can be wet, however. The last March with significant rainfall inland was in 2006, and before that, in 2003.

Cooler than normal temperatures have been with us much of the past year.

Here's what's normal for the month of February, by community:

Location Precip. High
De Luz 0.21"  69°F 
Fallbrook 0.88"  69°F 
Hemet 1.17"  70°F 
Lake Elsinore 0.61"  72°F 
Menifee 0.49"  71°F 
Murrieta 0.70"  72°F 
Riverside 0.42"  72°F 
Temecula 1.03"  72°F 

Note: normals are used for communities with five or more years of data.

Temperature Outlook Mar 2011

Temperature outlook for March

Precipitation Outlook Mar 2011

Precipitation outlook for March

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